24. 5. 2024 - Josef Brynda
A two-speed global economy skewed by US strength is overshadowing this week’s Group of Seven meeting as officials confront the prospect of less synchronized monetary policies.
Finance ministers in the lakeside resort of Stresa on Friday are weighing the durability of America’s growth momentum against the perennial sickliness of Europe’s expansion — colored by nearby geopolitical tensions — and pondering the implications for financial
16. 5. 2024 - Josef Brynda
Inflation pressures eased in April, but the progress was likely not enough to push the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates just yet.
"It's a step in the right direction," said Bank of America Securities US economist Stephen Juneau. But "is it enough for the Fed to get too excited about? Probably not yet."
In April, the Consumer Price Index on a "core" basis, which strips out food and energy prices, rose 3.6% year over year. That was in line with expectations, and it cooled from the 3.8% increase seen in March.
14. 5. 2024 - Josef Brynda
This week, we'll get fresh inflation data in the US, which will inevitably feed into the Federal Reserve's future decisions to raise, hold or lower benchmark interest rates. Meanwhile, the Biden administration is preparing to announce new tariffs aimed at curbing Chinese imports in key industries, including electric vehicles, batteries and solar cells. On this episode, we speak to Odd Lots favorite Viktor Shvets. The Macquarie strategist has a way of threading the needle between major global events and reaching back into history to provide context for our current macroeconomic moment. He describes the US central bank as a prisoner of its own policies, namely data dependency and the "dot plot." Meanwhile, China faces "massive" overcapacity problems as more and more countries put up barriers to its exports. We also talk about generational shifts and what they mean for investment.
9. 5. 2024 - Josef Brynda
Bank of England policymakers have kept interest rates on hold at 5.25% for a sixth consecutive time, which comes as no surprise as markets expect rates to come down only in the summer
However, the decision was not unanimous. The nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee were split, with seven voting to hold rates and two voting to cut to 5%
7. 5. 2024 - Josef Brynda
Stocks have remained largely resilient in recent weeks despite reports of sticky inflation and risk that the Federal Reserve holds interest rates higher for longer than investors expect. Wall Street strategists believe that's likely due to a better-than-expected set of first quarter earnings.
4. 5. 2024 - Josef Brynda
US stocks surged on Friday as upbeat earnings from Apple (AAPL) lifted spirits and a weaker-than-expected jobs report revived bets that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates sooner than thought.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) jumped 1.2%, or about 450 points, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 1.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) increased 2%.
1. 5. 2024 - Josef Brynda
A closely tracked wage growth metric hit its highest level in a year during the first quarter, fueling concerns that sticky inflation may be pervasive and prompt the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates steady for longer than initially hoped.
New data out Tuesday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that compensation costs increased 1.2% in the first quarter, above the prior quarter's 1% increase and higher than the 0.9% economists had expected, per Bloomberg data.
30. 4. 2024 - Josef Brynda
Stocks are facing a familiar problem.
Even as earnings for the first quarter come in better than expected, the market has struggled to climb higher consistently as rising Treasury yields weigh on sentiment for equities, reminding investors of the period in 2023 when higher yields sent stocks crashing.
19. 4. 2024 - admin admin
Důležitý krok k omezení nabídky neregulovaných a leckdy pochybných až podvodných investic na tuzemském trhu učinila tento týden Poslanecká sněmovna. Součástí přijaté novely zákona o investičních společnostech a fondech jsou i zpřísněná pravidla týkající se takzvaných patnáctkových fondů. Ty sehrály nechvalnou roli v kriminálních kauzách zkrachovalých firem J.O. Investment, Growing Way, Cryfin či WCA International.
3. 4. 2024 - admin admin
Jsou tomu dva roky, kdy Fed zahájil agresivní sérii zvedání úroků. Sazby v USA vystřelily během 16 měsíců z nulové hodnoty nad pět procent. Investoři se obávali zhoubného vlivu intenzivních monetárních restrikcí na hospodářství a finanční systém. Nervozitu umocňovala skutečnost, že si trhy v předchozí dekádě zvykly na doping v podobě neustálých infuzí likvidity. Nyní se však stáváme svědky opaku: ekonomika – zejména ta americká – se s přísnějšími měnovými podmínkami vypořádala podivuhodně dobře.